Actually, do you know that Vegas gets its money from the juice and not setting the line right? Its based on what the aggregate votes on (so herd knowledge of the two teams should be accurate for predicting the outcome, or in this case setting a line based on where things are bet on). That's why lines move based on betting. So a line could originally open up at +9 for Team A and -9 for Team B and the day of the game finish at -2 for Team A and +2 for Team B (although this is an extreme example, it has happened).
If not enough people have information (or even in some cases more people with wrong information), bet alot on the line in a certain direction then the line will move that way regardless. Vegas makes money off of every bet through the built in juice. Not the line itself. That being said, you are right, there is a reason the majority of people have us losing by that big a spread. All I know is, I bet on us last year when I took us at -14.5 from Pitt. We covered
Now in all seriousness, we probably wont win, and we may get blown out. I just don't know. I'm going to be optimistic and say we play fairly competitively and somewhat close. After all, the MVFC played alot of other FBS teams from the Big 12 and did well and the SEC is low this year (7 teams losing in week 1? Most since... 1992 the year I was born)!
