I would set the chances of a complete overhaul like RMU and Duquesne's arena's at about 1.5%. I think the odds of upgraded seating and perhaps some other upgrades are at 98.5%.
The bottom line is this. Enrollment is down. The faculty union does not seem very supportive of YSU having a D1 athletic department. YSU is going to be fundraising like crazy for the complete $40 million overhaul of Kilkawley. There is only so much big charitable money out there for YSU to go after.
If you could get some donors to get $1-2 million of upgrades to Beeghly over a three year period, I'd consider that a big victory.