Computer Rankings and YSU Men's Hoops - Season and weekend projections

[ysuindy]

I'm really not sure that we can put much stock in the pre-season numbers on the computer projections - but just for fun and for the record.


Season Projections

Pomeroy - 17-14 overall, 8-8 in the Horizon (tied for 4th). 188th overall. 

Massey -  16-15 overall, 7-9 in the Horizon. 185th overall.

Sagarin - does not make individual game predcitions (and I don't feel like calculating all of them). 165th overall

Weekend Projections

Pomeroy - YSU to go 2-1.  71% favorite to beat Kennesaw State (70-65 projection),  53% favorite to beat Florida International (73-72) and only 44% favorite to beat Eastern Kentucky (70-72)

Sagarin - YSU to go 2-1.  8.5 point favorite to beat Kennesaw State,  1.5 point favorite to beat FIU, 4.5 point underdog against EKU.

Massey - YSU to go 1-2.  73% favorite to beat Kennesaw State (73-66 projection), 49% favorite to beat FIU (71-72) and 43% favorite to beat EKU (70-72)



What the pre-season projections from these guys say is YSU is a middle of the pack team in college basketball, both in the league and overall. 

Pomeroy does not project scores for the non- Division I games.  He has all but 5 other games ending in single digits - games are going to come down to a few possessions at the end.  There will be lots of games where YSU has the best player on the floor.  Lets hope enough guys can step up to assist KP.

For the record - Pomeroy's double digit games.  Lose to UMass (12), Pitt (16), St Johns (12) and beat Austin Peay (10) and Bethune Cookman (12).

[ysuindy]

A 3-0 start helps with the computer rankings:

Sagarin - YSU up to 149 from 165

Pomeroy - YSU up to 142 from 188.  Now projecting 20-11, 9-7 - up from 17-14, 8-8

Massey - YSU up to 121 from 185. Now projecting 19-12, 8-8 vs 16-15, 7-9.

YSU still a strong underdog at UMass on Sunday - will update the numbers later in the week.

[DefendYoungstown]

I love these stats. Thanks for posting, Indy.

If YSU plays to its ability, the UMass game should be a good measure of where this team is at.

As Al Davis would say, 'Just win, baby.'

[ysuindy]

And the one stat that doesn't need computers.

As of this morning - there is only one 3-0 Division I team with 3 Division I wins.

Can we end the season now? 

[Double ET]

And the one stat that doesn't need computers.

As of this morning - there is only one 3-0 Division I team with 3 Division I wins.

Can we end the season now? 

if our name were Notre Dame, we would be in the top 10 in the poll by now.